Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Agronomy and Crop Science in Japan

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in agronomy and crop science in Japan stood significantly at 94.19%. This figure is consistently projected to decrease slightly to 94.16% by 2028, marking an annual decrease of 0.01 percentage points from 2024 onward. Such a marginal decline indicates a stable trend with minimal fluctuations. The year-on-year variation remains almost negligible over the period, emphasizing consistency among Japanese authors holding corresponding roles in these publications.

Future trends to watch for include:

• The impact of international collaborations could potentially influence these figures, either stabilizing or reversing the slight downward trend.
• The role of institutional and technological changes in publishing, which might alter authorship dynamics.
• The emphasis on open science and data sharing, possibly broadening the diversity in corresponding authorship roles.