In 2023, coking coal imports to Italy stood at approximately 16.2 thousand gigawatt-hours, based on historical data. Forecasts indicate a declining trend from 2024 onwards, decreasing yearly: 15.26 in 2024, 14.31 in 2025, 13.37 in 2026, 12.44 in 2027, and 11.52 by 2028. This reflects year-on-year decreases: approximately 6.1% in 2025, 6.6% in 2026, 6.9% in 2027, and 7.4% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected at negative 6.9%, indicating a consistent downward trend in imports.
Future trends to watch include the impact of Italy's energy transition policies on coal imports, advancements in alternative energy sources, and global market conditions influencing coking coal availability and prices.
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