Angola's production-based CO2 emissions have shown mixed trends over the past decade. After peaking at 21.52 million metric tons in 2015, emissions dropped significantly to 15.14 million metric tons in 2020. This period was characterized by high volatility, with annual variations ranging from a high of 17.27% in 2013 to a low of -19.98% in 2020. Between 2021 and 2023, emissions exhibited a recovery trend, marking a 5.51% year-on-year growth to stand at 19.9 million metric tons in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years turned positive, averaging 2.96%.
Future projections indicate a relatively stable growth trend, with emissions forecasted to reach 20.59 million metric tons by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is expected to be modest at 0.48%, suggesting slow but consistent growth.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Increasing international pressure and local policies aimed at emission reduction.
- Technological advancements in cleaner energy production that could mitigate CO2 emissions.
- Economic developments and their impact on industrial activities that drive emission levels.
