Indonesia's production-based CO2 emissions stood at 583.48 million metric tons in 2023. Forecasts indicate a steady increase, reaching 652.48 million metric tons by 2028. Key observations include:
- From 2023 to 2024, a 2.32% increase is expected, reaching 596.98 million metric tons.
- From 2024 to 2025, an increase of 2.36% to 611.06 million metric tons is projected.
- Projections for 2025 to 2026 show a 2.28% increase to 625.01 million metric tons.
- By 2027, emissions are expected to grow by 2.21%, reaching 638.81 million metric tons.
- By 2028, emissions may increase by another 2.13% to 652.48 million metric tons.
When considering the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028, the average annual increase stands at around 2.26%.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes in Indonesia's energy sector, shifts toward renewable energy, and international agreements on emissions that may influence these forecasts.