In 2023, carbon dioxide emissions in Southern Africa stood at 451.57 million metric tons. From 2013 to 2023, the emissions varied significantly, with dramatic fluctuations in the early years and more consistent growth in the latter years. Notably, emissions dropped by 5.42% in 2015, illustrating challenges in maintaining consistent growth. Recently, the year-on-year variations have averaged around 0.71% (2023), reflecting a smoothing trend in emission levels.
Over the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, the CAGR averaged 0.75%, while the forecast from 2024 to 2028 anticipates a CAGR of approximately 0.52%, signaling a slight deceleration in emission growth. The future 5-year growth rate is expected to be 2.62% by 2028, suggesting a modest rise in total emissions.
Key future trends to monitor include advancements in emission control technologies and policy changes aimed at reducing carbon footprints. Additionally, increasing adoption of renewable energy sources could play a vital role in moderating emission growth over the upcoming years.
