The share of corresponding/leading authors in Italian scientific publications in ecology is projected to decline slightly from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 86.2% in 2024, this figure is expected to decrease to 85.04% by 2028. Compared to 2023, there is a clear downward trend, with a cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) indicating a modest annual decrease. The key variations remain stable, pointing to a consistent decline over the coming years.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential factors leading to this decline, such as shifts in collaboration patterns or funding priorities.
The impact of increased international research collaboration, which may influence the dominance of Italian corresponding authors.
Technological advancements and their role in driving or mitigating these trends.