The forecast for hard coal imports to Sweden from 2024 to 2028 indicates a slight downward trend. In 2024, the value stands at 0.25 metric tons per capita, slightly decreasing to 0.24 metric tons per capita in 2025 and 2026. The downward trend continues in 2027 and 2028 with values at 0.23 metric tons per capita. When compared to the actual value of 0.26 metric tons per capita in 2023, the year-on-year variation shows a gradual decrease of approximately 4% from 2023 to 2024, and a decrease of 4.17% from 2024 to 2025. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is approximately -2.5% per year.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in energy policies and the adoption of renewable energy sources which may further reduce hard coal imports. Additionally, technological advances in energy efficiency, changes in industrial demand, and international trade agreements could significantly impact the trend.
