Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Infectious Diseases in Brazil

The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in infectious diseases in Brazil is expected to see a slight, consistent decrease from 95.07% in 2024 to 95.04% in 2028. In 2023, this share stood at 95.08%, indicating a very minor downward adjustment in subsequent years. The year-on-year variation in percentage is minimal, highlighting a stable trend. Over the forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) remains virtually flat, reflecting a persistently high level of Brazilian leadership in this field.

Future trends to watch for include the potential influence of international collaborations on Brazil's corresponding/leading author share, which may cause variations depending on policies and global research priorities. Additionally, the increasing importance of interdisciplinary research may slightly alter these dynamics over time.

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