Forecast: Import of Pears and Quinces to the UK

In 2023, the UK imported pears and quinces totaling 142 million kilograms. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase in import volumes, albeit marginal, growing from 142.06 million kilograms in 2024 to 142.16 million kilograms by 2028. This indicates a very slow growth trend, with a year-on-year increase hovering around 0.02% to 0.03% annually. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) remains negligible, reflecting a stagnant market.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential factors affecting UK import levels, like trade agreements or tariff changes post-Brexit.
  • Shifts in domestic production that may impact import needs.
  • Consumer preferences towards locally sourced fruit which may reduce dependency on imports.

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