In 2023, the refinery output of motor gasoline in France (excluding biofuel) stood at 9.2 million tonnes of oil equivalent. According to forecasted data, the output for 2024 is projected at 8.8, representing a decline of approximately 4.35% year-on-year. Moving into 2025, the output is expected to drop further to 8.42, marking a 4.32% decrease compared to the previous year. In 2026, the output continues its downward trajectory to 8.06, indicating a decline of around 4.27% year-on-year. Projections for 2027 suggest an output of 7.69, a decrease of about 4.59%. Finally, in 2028, the output is forecasted at 7.33, translating to a decline of roughly 4.68% compared to 2027. Over the five-year period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is approximately -4.65%, highlighting a consistent downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increasing regulations on carbon emissions, advancements in electric vehicle adoption, and potential shifts in consumer behavior towards more sustainable transportation options. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the ongoing changes in refinery output dynamics.
