Forecast: Rail Freight Transport in Germany

The rail freight transport volume in Germany exhibited fluctuating growth from 2013 to 2022, with a notable dip in 2020 due to external disruptions but recovering robustly in subsequent years. In 2023, the volume stood at 135.16 Billion Tonne Kilometers, reflecting a 4.71% year-on-year growth. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averaged 0.78%, indicating a modest but steady expansion. Forecasts for the next five years suggest a CAGR of 0.99%, with an overall growth of 5.05% by 2028, projecting continued stability and gradual growth in the sector.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in rail logistics improving efficiency.
  • Increased investment in rail infrastructure to support the growing volume.
  • Environmental regulations driving shifts from road to rail freight.
  • Potential impacts of economic policies and global trade dynamics.