The number of reported mumps cases in the UK is projected to rise steadily from 2024 through 2028, escalating from 8.26 thousand cases in 2024 to 10.41 thousand cases by 2028. This reflects a consistent annual growth rate, with year-on-year increases of approximately 6.5% in 2025, 6.3% in 2026, 5.7% in 2027, and 5.4% in 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is estimated to be around 5.7%. In 2023, the actual number of reported cases stood at 7.75 thousand.
Future trends to monitor include potential public health interventions, developments in vaccination programs, and changes in public awareness regarding mumps. These factors could significantly influence the trajectory of mumps cases in the UK over the coming years.
