Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Italy

In 2023, mortality caused by road traffic injury in Italy stood at 4.4 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The trend from 2013 to 2023 shows an overall decline in mortality rates, with sporadic fluctuations. From 2013 to 2022, the CAGR declined steadily, underscoring a consistent reduction in road traffic injury deaths.

Year-on-year percentage variations also reflect this downward trend, with notable reductions in recent years. Analysis of the last five years reveals a further decline, with the most significant annual reductions between 2020 and 2023. The five-year forecast CAGR of -4.84% suggests a continuing downward trajectory, with an estimated 21.95% reduction in road traffic injury mortality by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technologies, increased adoption of electric vehicles and autonomous driving systems, stringent traffic regulations, and improved emergency response systems, all of which may contribute to further reductions in mortality rates caused by road traffic injuries.