Forecast: Number of Road Injury Accidents in Built-Up Areas in Sweden

Based on the provided data, the number of road injury accidents in built-up areas in Sweden stood at 5.89 thousand in 2023. Over the last two years, there was a slight decline, with a year-on-year reduction of -1.41% from 2022 to 2023 and -1.42% from 2021 to 2022. Over the last five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a steady decrease of -1.51% yearly.

Looking at the historical trend, there has been a general downward trajectory in the number of road injury accidents from 2013 to 2023, with some fluctuations. The most significant year-on-year decrease occurred from 2013 to 2014 with a -15.15% drop. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 continue to suggest a declining pattern with a forecasted five-year CAGR of -1.23%, resulting in a projected figure of 5.45 thousand accidents by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technologies and infrastructure improvements, which could further reduce road injury accidents. Moreover, policy changes such as stricter traffic regulations and increased urban planning measures to enhance pedestrian and cyclist safety could also play crucial roles in continuing this downward trend.