From 2014 to 2020, the number of motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses in Poland showed a consistent upward trend, peaking at 124.81 thousand in 2020. However, a sharp decline occurred in 2021 with a year-on-year decrease of 30.88%, bringing the number to 86.27 thousand. The downward trend continued into 2023 with a year-on-year reduction of 7.12%, leaving the volume at 82.3 thousand. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was -7.18%.
Forecasts predict a continued decline, with the volume expected to fall to 52.33 thousand by 2028, representing a forecasted five-year CAGR of -7.24% and an overall forecasted five-year growth rate of -31.31%.
Future trends to watch for include innovations in electric and autonomous buses, governmental policy changes on public transportation, and potential shifts in urban mobility preferences which could influence the market dynamics significantly.
