The total traffic of buses and coaches in Sweden has seen its highest value in 2018 at 999.0 million vehicle-kilometers. Since 2020, there has been a noticeable decline, exacerbated by the pandemic, dipping to 909.0 million vehicle-kilometers in 2020 and continuing to drop, reaching 869.0 million vehicle-kilometers in 2023. The year-on-year variation rate has shown frequent declines, particularly strong in 2020 (-8.73%) with steady negative trends in subsequent years. The last five years record a negative CAGR of -2.75%, reflecting the downward trajectory. Forecasts indicate a continued decrease, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.85%, projecting figures to drop to 824.0 million vehicle-kilometers by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the recovery pace post-pandemic, the impact of evolving public transportation policies, sustainability measures, and the potential influence of technological advancements such as electric and autonomous buses on overall vehicle kilometers.
