Forecast: Chronic Liver Diseases and Cirrhosis Mortality in the US

The mortality rate for chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis among women is projected to increase from 13.3 deaths per 100,000 in 2024 to 14.9 by 2028. This represents a year-on-year growth of approximately 3% annually. In 2023, the rate stood below the 2024 forecast, marking a continuing upward trajectory over the forecast period. Over the five years through 2028, the compound annual growth rate is estimated at around 2.8%.

Future trends to watch for include potential advancements in medical treatment and liver disease prevention, societal changes affecting lifestyle factors related to liver health, and policy implementations aimed at reducing alcohol consumption and obesity rates.

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