In 2023, the re-import of oranges to France stood at 320.5 thousand kilograms. The forecast shows a decline from 2024 onwards, with the value reaching 201.7 thousand kilograms by 2028. This represents a continuous downward trend with a year-on-year decrease of 8.2% from 2024 to 2025, 8.8% from 2025 to 2026, 9.4% from 2026 to 2027, and 10.2% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is expected to be approximately -8.4%.

Future trends to watch for:

Shifts in global trade policies that may impact tariff rates and logistical barriers for orange re-imports to France.
Climate change and its effects on orange production, affecting both export and re-import dynamics.
Innovations in agriculture technology potentially altering production efficiency in key sourcing countries.
Consumer demand trends for fresh versus processed citrus products.