Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pediatrics in China

In 2023, the share of scientific publications in pediatrics among the world's 10% top-cited publications in China stood at a significant position. Forecasts for 2024 through 2028 indicate a gradual increase in this share, from 25.08% in 2024 to 25.32% in 2028. This reflects a consistent annual growth trend, showcasing China's strengthening position in high-impact pediatric research publications.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is positive, hinting at a steady, albeit modest, improvement in China's global scientific impact within pediatrics.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Potential shifts in research funding and policies that could accelerate growth.
  • Emerging collaborations and partnerships that might influence the citation landscape.
  • Technological advancements and their role in enhancing research visibility and impact.

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