Analysis of the forecasted data for the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in anesthesiology and pain medicine in Brazil from 2024 to 2028 reveals a slight, yet consistent, year-on-year decrease in the share value. From 2024 to 2028, there's a slight drop each year from 94.24% to 93.75%. This indicates a gradual decline in the concentration of corresponding/leading authors, with a slight negative CAGR over the five-year period.
The value stood at a slightly higher percentage in 2023, marking the beginning of this downward trend. Analyzing past years, this presents a consistent pattern of minor decreases, suggesting a slow but steady shift in publication dynamics.
Future trends to watch include potential diversification in authorship, which could result in a more distributed model of authorship among Brazilian researchers. Monitoring any changes in institutional or collaborative practices within the field will be crucial to understanding these evolving dynamics.
