The data on hospital discharges for complications of surgical and medical care in Chile reveals a fluctuating pattern between 2013 and 2023, with noticeable annual changes and more stability in recent years. In 2023, the figure stood at 93.7 discharges per hundred thousand persons. The year-on-year variation reached -27.08% in 2020, likely influenced by external factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, but recovered with values of 20.28% in 2022 and 9.72% in 2023. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was about 1.99%, reflecting moderate growth.
Looking ahead, the projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest a steady increase, with the forecast indicating an average annual growth rate of 2.6%, predicting the figure to reach approximately 110.4 discharges per hundred thousand persons by 2028. This suggests an overall growth of around 13.7% over this period.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in medical care technology, changes in healthcare policy, and potential shifts in healthcare needs due to demographic changes. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in predicting and managing future healthcare demands and complications related to surgical and medical care.
