The number of registered air carrier departures in Kenya showed significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. An initial downward trend was noticed from 2013 to 2014, followed by a gradual increase until 2016. A marked increase occurred from 2017 to 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to a drastic decline, but subsequent recovery was evident in 2021 and 2022. As of 2023, the highest value was achieved at 152.69 thousand departures.
Year-on-year variances highlight substantial shifts, with notable drops in 2014 and a drastic decrease in 2020, countered by significant rebounds especially in 2022 and 2023. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years (2019-2023) was 2.59%, reflecting an overall positive trend despite disruptions.
Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady increase, with an expected CAGR of 3.22%, indicating continued growth in air carrier departures.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential effects of emerging technologies and innovations in the aviation industry.
- Impacts of environmental policies and sustainability measures on air travel.
- Evolving consumer preferences and economic conditions influencing travel demand.
- Geopolitical factors that could affect air traffic trends in the region.
