Forecast: Share of Private Health Expenditure in Thailand

Between 2013 and 2023, the share of private health expenditure in Thailand experienced a consistent decline, starting at 22.7% in 2013 and decreasing to 14.19% in 2023. The year-on-year decreases intensified over time, as seen in the -5.27% decline in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -4.93%. Post-2023, forecasts indicate a continued downward trend, with the share expected to reach 10.1% by 2028, implying a forecasted CAGR of -5.4% and a total reduction of around 24.23% over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential policy changes that could affect private health expenditure
  • Economic factors influencing household disposable income and health spending
  • Healthcare system reforms aiming at increased public spending
  • Shifts in healthcare demand due to demographic changes, such as an aging population

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