The share of Generalist Medical Practitioners in Australia has been on a relatively consistent decline from 45.05% in 2013 to 43.55% in 2023, marking a decrease of 1.50 percentage points over a decade. Year-on-year variations fluctuate but predominantly show negative trends, with notable decreases in 2016 (-1.48%) and 2018 (-1.36%). The last CAGR for the period ending in 2023 is around -0.028%, indicating a slowly declining trend over the past five years.
Forecasts suggest this downward trend will continue, with the percentage expected to further decline to 42.31% by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -0.46%, with a total decrease projected at 2.26 percentage points from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential shifts in healthcare policy affecting workforce distribution.
- Technological advancements in medical care reducing the need for general practitioners.
- Changes in medical education and training focusing on specialty areas.