Forecast: Liquefied Natural Gas Export in Trinidad and Tobago

Trinidad and Tobago’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) exports have exhibited significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The volume stood at 10.95 billion cubic meters in 2023, reflecting a modest increase of 0.36% year-on-year. Noteworthy is the volatility in earlier years, with drastic declines observed in 2016, 2020, and particularly 2021. The 5-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 presents a decline of 7.96% annually, indicating a downward trend over the period.

Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest stabilization, with annual growth remaining relatively flat at around 0.15% CAGR. The projected volume for 2028 is 11.07 billion cubic meters, marking a slight growth of 0.76% over the five years.

Trends to watch for in the future include:

  • Regulatory changes impacting LNG production and exports.
  • Global demand shifts due to energy transition to sustainable sources.
  • Technological innovations in extraction and liquefaction processes.
  • Geopolitical dynamics affecting export markets and pricing.

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