Forecast: Means-Tested Gross Social Protection in France

As of 2023, France's means-tested gross social protection stood at 99.58 billion euros. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 show a consistent annual increase, starting at 101.99 billion euros in 2024 and reaching 112.15 billion euros by 2028. The year-on-year growth illustrates steady increments: a 2.53% increase in 2025, 2.44% in 2026, 2.37% in 2027, and 2.28% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate over five years is estimated at 2.45%, indicating a stable rise in expenditure for social protection measures.

Future trends to watch include the impact of inflation and economic policy changes on social welfare needs, potential adjustments in eligibility criteria, and demographic shifts that may alter the demand for social protection services. These factors could influence both the allocation and effectiveness of social protection funding in the coming years.