Forecast: Export of Munitions of War, Ammunition and Projectiles from Australia

The export of munitions of war, ammunition, and projectiles from Australia experienced significant fluctuations between 2013 and 2023, with values peaking in 2014 and hitting a low in 2016. However, the past five years have shown relatively stable volumes, with the export volume standing at 222.5 thousand kilograms in 2023. The year-on-year variation in the last two years has been minimal, with a slight decrease of 0.97% in 2023 following a small increase of 4.23% in 2022. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was nearly flat at -0.99%.

Future forecasts predict a gradual decline with an average annual decrease of 0.82% over the next five years, leading to an estimated 4.03% drop in total volume by 2028. The export volume for 2028 is forecasted to be around 210.46 thousand kilograms.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Changes in global political climate and defense policies.
  • Shifts in demand from international markets.
  • Technological advancements in military equipment.
  • Regulatory adjustments affecting export controls.

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