Based on the actual data from 2013 to 2023, railway passenger traffic in Poland fluctuated with specific trends. Initially, the traffic saw a decline up to 2014, followed by a significant increase until 2017. Despite a minor dip in 2018, there was a steady recovery and growth up to 2019. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a notable drop in 2020, but the traffic rebounded strongly in 2021 and continued to grow, reaching 308.03 million units in 2023. This represents a year-on-year variation of 0.87% in 2023 and a CAGR of 0.92% over the last five years.
Looking forward, forecast data indicates consistent growth in railway passenger traffic from 2024 to 2028, with annual values steadily increasing. The anticipated 5-year CAGR is 0.71%, reflecting moderate growth. By 2028, the traffic is expected to reach 320.95 million units, highlighting a forecast 5-year growth rate of 3.58%.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of increased investment in railway infrastructure, ongoing enhancements in service quality and technology, and policy initiatives promoting sustainable and public transportation.
