The share of Germany's scientific publications among the top 10% cited in artificial intelligence is expected to gradually decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 10.05% in 2024 and decreasing by approximately 7.96% over five years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average decrease of around 2.08% per year during this period. As of 2023, it stood at a higher figure, highlighting a trend of diminished prominence in top-cited AI research.

Future trends to watch for:

Investment in emerging AI research areas to potentially reverse the declining citation share.
Collaborative efforts with global AI research leaders to enhance research impact.
Monitoring and adapting to international AI policy changes that could influence research focus and funding.