The number of petrol motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses in Italy has shown a consistent decline from 1.03 thousand units in 2013 to 0.4 thousand units in 2023. The year-on-year variation has fluctuated, with the most significant drop of -50.39% occurring in 2014. Over the last two years, the decline has been relatively stable with a year-on-year variation of -2.37% in 2022 and -2.91% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at -2.63%, indicating a steady decrease.
Looking forward, the anticipated trend suggests a continued decline, with the forecast indicating a CAGR of -2.55% over the next five years. This equates to an estimated total decrease of -12.11% by 2028, resulting in approximately 0.341 thousand units.
Future trends to watch for include the growing impact of environmental regulations, increased adoption of electric vehicles, and technological advancements in public transport systems, which may further accelerate the decline in petrol motor vehicle usage.
