Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Health Professions in Germany

The share of Germany's scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in health professions is forecasted to rise steadily, starting at 11.35% in 2024 and reaching 11.66% by 2028. Actual data for 2023 is not provided, but given the consistent annual increase, it's reasonable to assume a similar upward trend was present leading into 2024.

Year-on-year growth predictions: 0.8% (from 2024 to 2025), 0.7% (from 2025 to 2026), 0.6% (from 2026 to 2027), and 0.6% (from 2027 to 2028). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years implies a sustained, gradual rise in publication influence.

Future trends to watch:

• Potential enhancements in research quality and collaboration within German institutions, which could further improve the citation impact.
• Alignment of emerging research priorities in health professions with global challenges could further increase visibility.