In 2023, the influenza mortality rate among males in the US was approximately 3.84 thousand deaths. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows an incrementally rising trend, reaching 4.96 thousand deaths by 2028. Between 2024 and 2025, there is an anticipated year-on-year increase of 5.4%, and a consistent annual growth rate of around 5.3% from 2025 to 2026, 2026 to 2027, and 2027 to 2028. The 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at 5.4%, indicating a consistent upward trend in influenza mortality among males.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new vaccination strategies, evolving virus strains, healthcare interventions, and public health policies which could influence these projections. Monitoring healthcare access disparities and preventative measure adoption rates will also be crucial for assessing and potentially mitigating this increase in mortality rates.