In 2024, influenza mortality in Germany is projected at 3.3 deaths per 100,000 people, marking a modest increase from 2023 figures, which were lower. The upward trend continues with an annual increase to 3.5 in 2025, 3.6 in 2026, and stabilizes at 3.7 in 2027 and 2028. Over the last two years, the annual growth rate in mortality is approximately 3% year-on-year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Monitor potential impacts on this forecast due to healthcare policies and advancements in vaccination coverage.
- Anticipate variations from new strains of the influenza virus, which could influence mortality rates.
- Consider socio-economic factors and demographic changes that might affect vulnerability to influenza over the forecast period.