The forecasted influenza mortality rate in Japan indicates a stabilized trend from 2024 through 2028 at 1.4 to 1.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons. Data from 2023 showed a similar pattern, implying a consistency in mortality rates over time. The year-on-year growth from 2024 to 2025 shows a projected increase of about 7.14%, from 1.4 to 1.5 deaths per hundred thousand, with the same level maintained through 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 reflects minimal change, suggesting limited variations in future mortality rates.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of new vaccination strategies and improved healthcare access on influenza mortality rates.
Potential influence of global pandemics or variants affecting influenza patterns in Japan.
Advancements in medical technology that could alter influenza treatment and prevention methods.