The working days of beds in general hospitals in China have shown a fluctuating trend over the past decade. From 2013 to 2019, the overall trend was a slow decline, with year-on-year variations ranging from a -1.64% to -0.38%. There was a significant drop in 2020 with a year-on-year decrease of 14.36%, followed by recovery trends in 2021 and 2022 with increases of 3.15% and 9.47% respectively. By 2023, the working days stood at 306.28 Unit Days, marking a modest increase of 2.3% year-on-year.
Looking ahead, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual decline with an average CAGR of -0.52%, indicating that by 2028, the working days are expected to be 296.55 Unit Days. This represents a cumulative decrease of 2.55% over the forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of healthcare reforms on hospital efficiency and bed utilization.
- Technological advancements improving patient turnover and bed management.
- Potential external shocks, such as pandemics, impacting hospital operations.
- Demographic shifts and aging population influencing hospital bed demand.
- Policy changes aimed at increasing general hospital bed availability.
