The garlic yield in China has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023, with an increase in yield from 245.68 to 299.73 thousand hectograms per hectare. Notably, the year-on-year growth rates varied, with years like 2020 posting a decline of 3.19%, contrasted by a significant rebound of 7.16% in 2021. By 2023, the year-on-year growth stabilized at 1.67%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 1.8%.
The future forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates a continued increase in garlic yield, with an expected growth rate of 6.65% over these five years and a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.3%. This points to sustained growth, albeit at a slightly slower pace compared to the previous decade.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on crop yield, advancements in agricultural technology enhancing productivity, and market demand fluctuations influencing planting decisions.