The forecast for apple consumption at farm gate in Japan indicates a declining trend from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, the actual consumption stood at a higher level, marking the beginning of a projected decrease. The expected year-on-year reduction is approximately 1.24% from 2024 to 2025, continuing similarly around this rate annually until 2028. Over the forecasted five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average yearly decline of around 1.28% in apple consumption in terms of volume.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative fruits or imported produce.
- Changes in domestic agricultural policies or weather patterns affecting apple production.
- Impact of economic factors such as exchange rates and inflation on domestic and export markets.
