The forecast shows a consistent decline in long-term care hospital beds in France from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the number stood at a higher baseline, leading into a notable reduction annually from 23.15 thousand beds in 2024 to 17.52 thousand in 2028. The year-on-year decrease reveals progressive declines: approximately 6.3% between 2024 to 2025, 6.54% from 2025 to 2026, 6.9% from 2026 to 2027, and 7.2% from 2027 to 2028. This consistent downward trend reflects a compounded annual growth rate showcasing an average decrease of approximately 6.73% per annum over the five-year span.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements that may lead to decreased demand for traditional long-term hospital beds, shifting focus towards outpatient care and home-based services which could impact bed availability further. Additionally, demographic changes, notably an aging population, may also play a significant role in influencing healthcare infrastructure and capacity needs.