Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Pediatrics in Germany

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pediatrics in Germany is forecasted to decline from 87.06% in 2024 to 84.46% by 2028. This signifies a consistent year-on-year decrease, averaging a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -0.77% over the five-year forecast period. This downward trend suggests a gradual shift in the dynamics of scientific authorship.

Future trends to watch for include the potential rise of collaborative and multi-author research models, increasing international co-authorship, and evolving publication practices. These factors could further influence the role and share of corresponding authors in pediatrics publications.

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