The forecast for the total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in aerospace engineering in France shows a steady decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at approximately 24.93 publications in 2024 and decreasing to 22.19 by 2028. Compared with 2023's actual figures, these forecasts suggest a potential decrease, impacting France's global research standing in aerospace engineering.
Year-on-year variation indicates a continuous downward trend, with an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period in the negative territory. This highlights a potential issue in maintaining high-citation research output.
Future trends to watch include:
- Increased competition in aerospace research from other countries.
- Shifts in funding priorities affecting research quality and output.
- Collaborations and partnerships with international institutions.
