From 2013 to 2019, wood fuel production in Kenya remained stable at 26.4 million cubic meters. However, a decline occurred in 2020, with production dropping to 24.948 million cubic meters, where it remained through 2022. In 2023, production saw a slight increase to 25.104 million cubic meters.

The year-on-year variation indicated a sharp decline of 5.5% in 2020, followed by a period of stabilization. An incremental rise of 0.63% was noted in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years shows an average annual decline of 1%.

Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 suggest a steady recovery, with an estimated CAGR of 0.47%, projecting a growth rate of approximately 2.37% over five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

Government policy changes regarding forest conservation and wood fuel production.
Adoption of alternative energy sources impacting wood fuel demand.
Technological advancements in sustainable forestry practices.