In 2023, the incidence of tuberculosis in Italy was measured at 5.3 cases per hundred thousand persons. Forecasts from 2024 suggest a gradual decline, with a projected decrease to 4.6 cases by 2028. Analyzing year-on-year percentage changes, Italy is expected to experience a decline of 3.8% in 2024, 3.8% in 2025, 2.0% in 2026, 2.0% in 2027, and 4.2% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 indicates an average annual decrease of 2.7%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impact of healthcare policies and initiatives aimed at reducing tuberculosis incidence.
- Possible effects of immigration patterns and movement of populations susceptible to tuberculosis.
- Ongoing advancements in healthcare technology and access.
- Changes in public awareness and vaccination rates.
