Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Health Professions in Canada

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in health professions in Canada stood at 91.20%. From 2024, this figure is forecasted to slightly decrease each year, reaching 90.34% by 2028. The year-on-year variation shows a steady annual decline of approximately 0.17 percentage points. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is reflected as a subtle downward trend in the share of corresponding/leading authorships.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Understanding the reasons behind the decline in corresponding authorship share, such as increased collaboration or shifts in research practices.
• Monitoring the impact of new allocation policies or incentives promoting collaborative authorship in health-related publications.
• Evaluating how trends in digital publishing and open access might further affect authorship patterns.