In 2023, the number of new clinically diagnosed pulmonary tuberculosis cases in India was approximately 760,000. The forecast for 2024 is 802.08 thousand cases, showing an increase of 5.5% from the previous year. Year-on-year growth rates for the following years are approximately 5.5% from 2024 to 2025, 5.2% from 2025 to 2026, 4.9% from 2026 to 2027, and 4.6% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is around 5.1%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Implementation and effectiveness of India's National Tuberculosis Elimination Program and its impact on diagnostic rates.
- Trends in healthcare infrastructure improvements and their influence on tuberculosis control.
- Potential impacts of social determinants and population health initiatives on tuberculosis incidence.