In 2023, Italy's international road freight transport loaded volume stood at approximately 8.5 million vehicle-kilometers. Forecast data indicates a decline to 8.0 million vehicle-kilometers in 2024, a further dip to 7.0 from 2025 through 2027, and reaching 6.0 by 2028. This represents a steady decrease over the years, with a particularly notable decrease from 2023 to 2028. On a year-on-year basis, the forecast shows a reduction of 12.5% from 2024 through 2025, stabilizing briefly, then declining by 14.3% from 2027 to 2028. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period projects a negative trend of approximately -6.6%.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of sustainable road transport initiatives and shifting economic conditions in Italy and across Europe, which could influence demand for international road freight. Additionally, technological advancements in vehicle efficiency and logistics might alter current trends in the long-term outlook.