From 2013 to 2016, the international rail freight volume transiting through Germany saw consistent growth, reaching a peak in 2016. However, 2017 marked a downturn followed by a substantial drop in 2018. The decline continued steeply into 2020, perhaps impacted by global disruptions. In 2021, there was a significant rebound, yet it stabilized with minor decreases in 2022 and 2023, where the value stood at 10.97 billion Tonne Kilometers.
Over the last two years, the year-on-year variation shows slight fluctuations, with 2022 experiencing a modest recovery at 4.74%, while 2023 saw a minimal decrease of 0.48%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) between 2019 and 2023 was 1.34%, indicating a slightly positive, albeit fragile, growth trend.
Forecasted data from 2024 through 2028 suggests a gradually declining trend at an average CAGR of -0.4%, portraying a forecasted 5-year growth rate of -1.96%. This indicates that the international rail freight volume transiting through Germany is expected to experience a slow yet persistent decrease over the next five years.
Future Trends to Watch: