Forecast: Agricultural Area Under Organic Agriculture in Canada

The agricultural area under organic agriculture in Canada has been steadily growing from 869.2 thousand hectares in 2013 to 1350.0 thousand hectares in 2023, with a notable dip in 2021. The average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years has been very modest at 0.52%, highlighting slower growth compared to the previous periods.

Key insights:

  • 2013-2020: The growth was more aggressive, peaking with year-on-year variations as high as 16.36% in 2016.
  • 2021: A significant decline of 14.25% occurred before the area rebounded slightly in 2022 and 2023.

Forecasts predict a continued but moderated expansion up to 1520.0 thousand hectares by 2028, with an average forecasted CAGR of 1.9%. Future trends to watch for include the impact of governmental policies on organic farming incentives, climate change adaptation strategies, and shifting consumer preferences towards sustainable agriculture.

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