The average length of calls on mobile telephones in China has shown fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, actual data indicates a general decline, with some minor periods of growth. Notably, 2013 saw a high with 582.3 trillion minutes, and by 2023, this dropped to 467.47 trillion minutes. Between 2013 and 2019, there was a consistent downward trend, highlighted by notable decreases in 2017, 2018, and 2019 with year-on-year variations of -4.58%, -5.33%, and -6.45% respectively. However, from 2021 onwards, a mild recovery was observed, with slight increases in 2021 (1.4%), 2022 (1.25%), and 2023 (1.26%).
The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady but slow increase. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected at 0.93% over the next five years, suggesting a 4.76% growth by 2028. This forecasted growth contrasts with the previous five years' CAGR of -1.77%, showing optimism for the near future.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new communication technologies like 5G, potential increases in data-based communication substituting voice calls, and the effect of changing consumer behaviors and preferences. These elements could significantly influence the length of mobile telephone calls in the upcoming years.
