In 2023, the import value of apples, pears, and quinces to Japan stood at approximately 12.9 million US dollars. In 2024, this figure is projected to grow to 13.492 million US dollars. The forecasted trend indicates a steady increase each year, with projected imports reaching 15.851 million US dollars by 2028. The year-on-year growth from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 4.5%, with similar annual growth seen in subsequent years. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the period 2024 to 2028 is expected to be around 4.1%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards local produce, which could impact import volumes.
- Changes in international trade policies affecting tariffs and trade agreements.
- Developments in genetic or organic varieties that might influence consumer demand and import dynamics.
- Economic conditions both globally and within Japan that could modify purchasing power and import demands.
