In 2023, the national road freight volume of toxic substances in France stood at 4.5 million vehicle-kilometers. The forecast for 2024 shows a decrease to 4.0 million vehicle-kilometers, with a further drop to 3.0 million from 2025 through 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of roughly 11.1% from 2023 to 2024, followed by stabilization with no yearly change from 2025 onwards. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 reflects a decline of approximately 10.8% annually over the five years.
Future trends to watch include regulatory shifts towards reducing the transport of toxic substances and advancements in alternative transportation methods, such as rail and sea, which might further decline road freight volumes. Increased focus on sustainable practices and innovative logistics solutions could also reshape the industry's landscape.
